株価

最近、株価が下がってきている。
ヨーロッパの金融不安が原因だと言われている。
日経平均はどこまで下がるのだろう。
9000円が一つのめどであるが、最悪は7000円台まで行くかもしれない。
昔、日経平均の予測をHPに出して、9割ぐらいの正解率を出した。
この辺の事情は、情報処理学会誌の解説で書いたことがある。
その予測の手法は「実践データマイニング」(オーム社)という本に書いたが、
この手法が年金運用に使われているという話を最近聞いた。
その手法を改良して、近いうちに、日経平均の予測をHPに出す予定である。

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